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Chokepoint

Strait of Gibraltar

The Strait of Gibraltar is the roughly 14-km-wide gateway between the Atlantic Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea. Every cargo moving between the Mediterranean and the wider ocean — including Suez-bound Europe–Asia traffic — passes through it.

Is the Strait of Gibraltar open right now?

Steady: traffic through the Strait of Gibraltar was 87% of its year-earlier level in the seven published days to Oct 25, 2026 (IMF PortWatch). As of Nov 2, 2026, 4:43 AM UTC, IMF PortWatch counted 103 transits through the Strait of Gibraltar on Oct 25, 2026 (latest published day). The 7-day average is 116.4 a day, 87% of the 134.1-a-day average for Nov 2024–Nov 2025. The Green disruption score is a risk signal; it does not verify unrestricted passage or operational closure.

The score of 15 (Green) has this evidence basis. Configured geopolitical baseline: no additional threat weight. Observed score inputs: 0 warnings; maximum AIS congestion severity High. Context only (not score inputs): AIS event count (1 AIS disruption); IMF PortWatch latest daily count (103 on Oct 25, 2026).

Current status

Strait of Gibraltar disruption pulse

Published pulse

Daily transit counts are official IMF PortWatch figures, published about four days after the day they cover. A missing count does not mean zero traffic.

Disruption score15Green
Navigational warnings0 warnings
AIS disruptions1 AIS disruption
AIS congestionHigh
Latest daily transits (IMF PortWatch)103Oct 25, 2026
7-day average vs year-earlier116.4 a day · 87% of 134.1
Week-over-week movement-6.4% vs prior week
Open Strait of Gibraltar on the live map →
ConnectsAtlantic ↔ Mediterranean
Position35.9°N, 5.6°W
Energy shock modelNo

Why does every Suez–Europe loop still have to use Gibraltar?

Strait of Gibraltar sits at 35.9°N, 5.6°W and connects Atlantic ↔ Mediterranean. The reference maps 4 modelled trade-route corridors onto this waypoint.

Gibraltar is the Atlantic door of the Mediterranean. Suez delivers Asia–Europe cargo into the eastern Mediterranean; to reach the Atlantic ranges (Rotterdam, the US East Coast via Suez, West Africa) that cargo still exits here. Intra-Mediterranean trades never need it. That split is why Gibraltar appears on Gulf–Europe oil, Singapore–Mediterranean, India–Europe, and Asia–Europe (Cape Route) but not on purely Asian legs.

Four modelled routes use this waypoint: Persian Gulf → Europe (Oil), Singapore → Mediterranean, India → Europe, and Asia → Europe (Cape Route). The Cape loop still re-enters Europe’s Atlantic approaches and is therefore in this set even when it skipped Suez. There is no EIA oil-transit baseline and no energy shock model; the oil that does pass is already attributed to Hormuz/Suez/Bab el-Mandeb in that series.

SUZU Monitor does not enable the energy shock model on this waterway. This waterway has no row in the committed 2023 EIA World Oil Transit Chokepoints series.

There is no second sea gate between the Atlantic and the Mediterranean. The overland options are pipeline and rail across Iberia or the Maghreb, which do not move the container loops. A Gibraltar closure would trap Mediterranean shipping inside the basin the way a Bosporus closure traps the Black Sea, at a much larger cargo scale.

Major trade routes through Strait of Gibraltar

Modelled trade-route corridors through Strait of Gibraltar. Volumes are SUZU Monitor corridor figures as of .
RouteCategoryModelled volumeAs of
Persian Gulf → Europe (Oil)Energy6.5M+ bpd
Singapore → MediterraneanContainer10M+ TEU/year
India → EuropeContainer6M+ TEU/year
Asia → Europe (Cape Route)Container5M+ TEU/year

How to read this page

The crawlable Dataset is the registry-and-route snapshot under the chokepoint disruption methodology. Live pulse tiles are a separately frozen observation and are not copied into this Dataset. Modelled corridor volumes are dated .

Template revision 2026-10-18. Reference observation . This note is a methodology-revision stamp, not a live AIS clock. Published revisions that affect this page are in the corrections log.

Questions about Strait of Gibraltar

Do Cape of Good Hope sailings still use Gibraltar?

Europe-bound Cape loops that discharge in the Mediterranean or transit to Mediterranean hubs still use Gibraltar. Pure Atlantic European discharge can avoid it.

Is Gibraltar shock-modelled?

No. SUZU Monitor does not enable the energy shock model here and does not assign an EIA 2023 oil-transit baseline to Gibraltar.

Which modelled trade routes use Strait of Gibraltar?

Strait of Gibraltar is a waypoint on Persian Gulf → Europe (Oil) (6.5M+ bpd); Singapore → Mediterranean (10M+ TEU/year); India → Europe (6M+ TEU/year); Asia → Europe (Cape Route) (5M+ TEU/year). Those corridor volumes are SUZU Monitor modelled figures dated March 14, 2026 in the SUZU Monitor trade-route reference.

Related country profiles

Related

Download: reference.json. Source: SUZU Monitor chokepoint registry and trade-route reference. Captured April 9, 2026. Methodology: how chokepoint disruption is scored.

How SUZU Monitor compares: Chokepoint Monitoring Tools.