{ "dataset": "country-resilience-snapshot", "countryCode": "UA", "countryName": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "rank": 116, "overallScore": 47.9, "dimensionCoverage": 0.83, "confidence": "standard", "level": "medium", "sourceStatus": "ranked", "headlineEligible": true, "capturedAt": "2026-11-01", "methodologyFormula": "pillar-combined-penalized-v1", "rankedCount": 169, "source": "docs/snapshots/resilience-ranking-2026-11-01.json", "license": "https://global.suzu.party/docs/terms", "developments": { "headlines": [ { "title": "Russian strikes cut power to thousands in Ukraine as Kherson ceasefire ends", "source": "BBC World", "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c64g1y90p71eo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T21:55:01.000Z" }, { "title": "Civilians in Ukraine’s Kherson prepare for the return of war as localized ceasefire ends - AP News", "source": "AP News", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQSmJHM1BrS0RMNk5BS0hac0VyQjZTSkdPbmlGdkZ6bGJiUGF2dkJuZVFhNzNTaUNhNU0yOXRyUGVKZU42dE1PZzBMWjNFY3hOVTBfSFRkc0lCclpXZ0xCLVhrRi02REF4b25JVEZFeTFDc2tQSnVsTDNuNVVjeHlEdG5zaXB4ODRDSUYwcWtQZFF2THR6eVNjQUZvUElmd1VwdWNDbVZjVQ?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T23:24:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Reunited after 1,711 days: Oleshky evacuees return to Ukraine under Melania Trump-brokered ceasefire", "source": "Egypt Independent", "url": "https://www.egyptindependent.com/reunited-after-1711-days-oleshky-evacuees-return-to-ukraine-under-melania-trump-brokered-ceasefire/", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T13:30:22.000Z" }, { "title": "Ukrainian air alert app hacked with fake nuclear warnings", "source": "RT", "url": "https://rt-english.com/russia/648212-ukraine-air-alert-hack/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS", "publishedAt": "2026-11-02T00:17:12.000Z" }, { "title": "Russia's war casualty toll in Ukraine up by 2,100 over past day - Ukrinform", "source": "Ukrinform", "url": "https://news.google.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?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T06:45:00.000Z" } ], "brief": { "text": "SITUATION NOW\nRussian strikes have cut power to thousands in Ukraine following the end of a localized ceasefire in Kherson. [1]\nCivilians in Ukraine’s Kherson are preparing for the return of war as the localized ceasefire ends. [2]\n\nWHAT THIS MEANS FOR UKRAINE\nThe hacking of Ukraine's air alert app with fake nuclear warnings, combined with a 64% probability of escalation risk by Nov 9, 2026, as of Nov 2, 2026, heightens the threat of disinformation-driven panic. [4][E11]\n\nKEY RISKS\nThe Kerch Strait being a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Ukraine poses a risk to maritime trade routes amid ongoing conflict. [E5]\n\nOUTLOOK\nA Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?\", priced Yes at 69% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Nov 30, 2026. [E6]\nA Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?\", priced Yes at 14% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E7]\n\nWATCH ITEMS\nWhether the localized ceasefire in Kherson will be renewed after its end. [1][2]\nWhether Russia-Ukraine peace talks will occur by November 30, 2026, as priced at 69% on a Polymarket market. [E6]", "generatedAt": "2026-11-02T04:53:43.888Z", "sources": [ { "title": "Russian strikes cut power to thousands in Ukraine as Kherson ceasefire ends", "source": "BBC World", "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c64g1y90p71eo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T21:55:01.000Z" }, { "title": "Civilians in Ukraine’s Kherson prepare for the return of war as localized ceasefire ends - AP News", "source": "AP News", "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQSmJHM1BrS0RMNk5BS0hac0VyQjZTSkdPbmlGdkZ6bGJiUGF2dkJuZVFhNzNTaUNhNU0yOXRyUGVKZU42dE1PZzBMWjNFY3hOVTBfSFRkc0lCclpXZ0xCLVhrRi02REF4b25JVEZFeTFDc2tQSnVsTDNuNVVjeHlEdG5zaXB4ODRDSUYwcWtQZFF2THR6eVNjQUZvUElmd1VwdWNDbVZjVQ?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T23:24:00.000Z" }, { "title": "Reunited after 1,711 days: Oleshky evacuees return to Ukraine under Melania Trump-brokered ceasefire", "source": "Egypt Independent", "url": "https://www.egyptindependent.com/reunited-after-1711-days-oleshky-evacuees-return-to-ukraine-under-melania-trump-brokered-ceasefire/", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T13:30:22.000Z" }, { "title": "Ukrainian air alert app hacked with fake nuclear warnings", "source": "RT", "url": "https://rt-english.com/russia/648212-ukraine-air-alert-hack/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS", "publishedAt": "2026-11-02T00:17:12.000Z" }, { "title": "Russia's war casualty toll in Ukraine up by 2,100 over past day - Ukrinform", "source": "Ukrinform", "url": "https://news.google.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?oc=5", "publishedAt": "2026-11-01T06:45:00.000Z" } ], "evidence": [ { "id": "E5", "kind": "chokepoint", "label": "Chokepoint tracker", "value": "Kerch Strait", "factText": "Kerch Strait is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Ukraine.", "asOf": "2026-11-02T04:53:41.622Z", "url": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/chokepoints/kerch-strait/" }, { "id": "E6", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "69%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?\", priced Yes at 69% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Nov 30, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-11-02T04:51:01.552Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-peace-talks-byptptpt-20260609012540716" }, { "id": "E7", "kind": "market", "label": "Polymarket prediction market", "value": "14%", "factText": "A Polymarket market related to Ukraine, \"Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?\", priced Yes at 14% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027.", "asOf": "2026-11-02T04:51:01.552Z", "url": "https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-agreement-by" }, { "id": "E11", "kind": "forecast", "label": "World Monitor forecast", "value": "64%", "factText": "A World Monitor forecast related to Ukraine, \"Escalation risk: Ukraine\", gives a 64% probability by Nov 9, 2026, as of Nov 2, 2026.", "asOf": "2026-11-02T04:02:30.698Z", "url": "https://www.worldmonitor.app/accuracy/" } ] }, "timeline": [ { "title": "GDELT 195 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/global/us-pushes-to-restore-russian-gas-sales-to-europe-via-ukraine-11793587580524.html", "occurredAt": "2026-11-02T03:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/global/us-pushes-to-restore-russian-gas-sales-to-europe-via-ukraine-11793587580524.html", "occurredAt": "2026-11-02T03:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.livemint.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.livemint.com/global/us-pushes-to-restore-russian-gas-sales-to-europe-via-ukraine-11793587580524.html", "occurredAt": "2026-11-02T03:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 194 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.rferl.org", "sourceUrl": "https://www.rferl.org/a/zelenskyy-patriot-missile-russia-refinery-trump/33888449.html", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T23:30:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: themedialine.org", "sourceUrl": "https://themedialine.org/headlines/us-iran-tensions-complicate-plans-for-ukraine-peace-talks-in-abu-dhabi/", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T22:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: en.apa.az", "sourceUrl": "https://en.apa.az/europe/russia-strikes-ukraine-killing-three-people-533400", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T21:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 190 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: en.apa.az", "sourceUrl": "https://en.apa.az/europe/russia-strikes-ukraine-killing-three-people-533400", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T21:15:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 191 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.the-sun.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.the-sun.com/news/17233789/", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 191 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: www.the-sun.com", "sourceUrl": "https://www.the-sun.com/news/17233789/", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T20:00:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" }, { "title": "GDELT 180 — in Ukraine", "summary": "source: econotimes.com", "sourceUrl": "https://econotimes.com/Ukraine-Reports-Two-Dead-Six-Injured-in-Vinnytsia-Drone-Strike-1768237", "occurredAt": "2026-11-01T19:45:00.000Z", "domain": "conflict" } ], "timelineStatus": "partial", "briefSkipped": null, "capturedAt": "2026-11-02T04:46:29.531Z" } }