Papua New Guinea resilience analysis
Papua New Guinea ranks #101 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 50.5 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 59.9, with recovery capacity next at 64.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 65.8, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 46.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.1 points. Dimension coverage is 80%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 59.9; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 64.6; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 65.8; coverage 78%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 46.3; weight 13%; low Health and public services 8; high Food and water security 93.
- Social and governance: 53.8; weight 19%; low Education capacity 16; high Information environment 77.
- Recovery capacity: 64.6; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 35; high External-debt coverage 98.
- Economic capacity: 66.6; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 58; high Trade policy resilience 85.
- Energy security: 75; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 75.
- Infrastructure: 80.3; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 38; high Logistics and supply chains 100.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 8 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 35 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 37 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 37 | 100% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 38 | 70% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 58 | 85% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 58 | 92% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 64 | 80% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 67 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 68 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 70 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 73 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 75 | 70% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 77 | 55% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 93 | 82% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 98 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 100 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Colombia (#100, 50.6), Cambodia (#102, 50.4), Argentina (#99, 50.7), India (#103, 50.4). Comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: Cambodia (#102, 50.4), Indonesia (#94, 51.9), Thailand (#92, 52.1), Vietnam (#90, 52.4), Laos (#88, 53). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Papua New Guinea has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 80.3. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Papua New Guinea
What is Papua New Guinea's resilience score?
Papua New Guinea scores 50.5 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #101 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Papua New Guinea?
Structural readiness is lowest at 59.9, followed by Recovery capacity at 64.6. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 63%.
Is Papua New Guinea's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.