SUZU Monitor — real-time global intelligence dashboard with live markets, geopolitical data, and infrastructure monitoring

Live data

Prediction markets today

The most traded Polymarket and Kalshi questions on geopolitics, economics and technology, with the current yes probability, volume and close date, updated live.

What are prediction markets pricing right now?

As of Nov 2, 2026, 4:41 AM UTC, SUZU Monitor tracks 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets. The most traded is "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" on Polymarket, priced at 20.5% yes with $125.0 million traded.

Current reading

Published reading
Markets tracked50
Volume traded, all tracked markets$492.1 million
The 15 most traded of 50 tracked markets: the price of "yes" read as a probability
QuestionYesVolumeClosesVenue
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?20.5%$125.0 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17.5%$76.2 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?85.2%$40.6 millionDec 31, 2026Polymarket
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?31.5%$31.2 millionNov 3, 2026Polymarket
Iran leadership change by December 31?13.5%$28.5 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?13.5%$20.9 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?10.5%$19.1 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?13.5%$17.8 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?11.5%$16.1 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?12.5%$13.0 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?27.5%$10.3 millionDec 9, 2026Polymarket
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?13.5%$10.2 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?12.5%$7.5 millionJan 1, 2027Polymarket
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?19.5%$6.5 millionJan 5, 2027Polymarket
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?18%$6.4 millionJan 1, 2028Polymarket
Sources: Polymarket (polymarket.com) and Kalshi (kalshi.com). Prices are market odds, not forecasts by SUZU Monitor.

How to read a prediction market price

Each market is a yes-or-no question that pays out if the event happens. The price of a "yes" share, between 0 and 100 cents, is what traders currently pay for it, and is commonly read as the market's probability of the event. Thinly traded markets can move on small orders, so volume is shown beside each price.

Which markets are listed

SUZU Monitor follows geopolitical, economic and technology markets on Polymarket and Kalshi and ranks them here by volume traded. Markets whose titles name sports leagues, entertainment awards or celebrities are filtered out. SUZU Monitor's own scenario forecasts, scored against outcomes, are published separately on the forecast accuracy page.

Related live data

See it on the dashboard

The same data appears in the Predictions view of the SUZU Monitor dashboard, next to the map, alerts and related panels. Other live checks are listed on the live tools page.