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Taiwan Country Instability Index

Taiwan's Country Instability Index is 21/100 · Low, down 6 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. SUZU Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Taiwan's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Republic of China. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Taiwan instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score21Low
24-hour comparison-window movementFalling -6
Travel advisory inputExercise Normal Precautions
OFAC designations in feed34 designated entities
Open Taiwan on the live map →

Recent developments in Taiwan

Taiwan's Country Instability Index is 21/100 · Low, down 6 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Taiwan

The record foreign stock withdrawal amid an AI rout could exacerbate capital outflows from Taiwan, which is already a shipping chokepoint monitored by World Monitor. [1][E4]

Key risks

The Taiwan Strait is a shipping chokepoint World Monitor tracks for Taiwan, creating vulnerability to disruptions in maritime trade. [E4]

Outlook

A Polymarket market on whether Puma Shen will win the next Taipei Mayor election is priced Yes at 35% as of Nov 2, 2026, closing Nov 29, 2026. [E6]

A Polymarket market on whether Lee Shu-chuan will win the next New Taipei Mayor election is priced Yes at 53% as of Nov 2, 2026, closing Nov 29, 2026. [E7]

SUZU Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 3 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

  1. Cross-Strait activity 2026-11-02: plaAircraftSorties: 19; planShips: 7; officialShips: 6; adizEntries: 4 military source
  2. Cross-Strait activity 2026-11-01: plaAircraftSorties: 32; planShips: 7; officialShips: 2; medianLineCrossings: 26; adizEntries: 26 military source
  3. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-31: plaAircraftSorties: 13; planShips: 7; officialShips: 2; medianLineCrossings: 6; adizEntries: 6 military source
  4. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-30: plaAircraftSorties: 6; planShips: 7; officialShips: 1; medianLineCrossings: 3; adizEntries: 3 military source
  5. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-29: plaAircraftSorties: 6; planShips: 7; officialShips: 1; adizEntries: 5 military source
  6. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-28: plaAircraftSorties: 6; planShips: 7; officialShips: 1 military source
  7. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-27: plaAircraftSorties: 3; planShips: 8; officialShips: 4; adizEntries: 3 military source
  8. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-26: plaAircraftSorties: 3; planShips: 6; officialShips: 9; medianLineCrossings: 1; adizEntries: 1 military source
  9. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-25: plaAircraftSorties: 0; planShips: 5; officialShips: 8 military source
  10. Cross-Strait activity 2026-10-24: plaAircraftSorties: 0; planShips: 1; officialShips: 5 military source

Structural resilience snapshot

RankNot ranked
Overall score—
Dimension coverage40%
ConfidenceLow

SUZU Monitor does not publish a resilience score for Taiwan because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria.

Taiwan resilience analysis

SUZU Monitor does not publish a resilience score or rank for Taiwan because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria. Officially Republic of China. Taiwan is included separately in the rankable universe. Ranked comparisons use East Asia and the Pacific peers rather than other unpublished pages. The snapshot records Taiwan as TW.

Why Taiwan is unpublished

Taiwan's coverage is 40% and imputation share is 42%, so the snapshot is low-confidence.

Source inventory gaps

Financial-system exposure, Governance and institutions, Health and public services, Logistics and supply chains, Education capacity, External-debt coverage, Liquid-reserve adequacy, and State continuity have no usable observed series. Those slots depend on BIS, World Bank IDS, FATF, World Bank WGI, WHO, World Bank, UCDP, and UNHCR, which do not contribute observed series for those dimensions. State continuity is marked source unavailable in this snapshot. Education capacity, External-debt coverage, and Liquid-reserve adequacy are tagged unmonitored because the source does not cover Taiwan.

What the snapshot does cover

Observed evidence is present for Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Import concentration (100%), Macro-fiscal position (95%), Border security (86%), Social cohesion (76%), and Fiscal space (65%). Input coverage is 40% and imputation share is 42%.

Dimension evidence inventory

Showing 12 of 21 active dimensions, weakest evidence first; 2 more at full coverage; 7 omitted for brevity.

Core infrastructure and Energy system resilience are observed but below the 50% coverage a supported reading needs, so they are recorded here without counting as supported readings.

Nearest ranked comparators

Nearest ranked comparators: Samoa, New Zealand, South Korea, Australia. Ranked comparisons in East Asia and the Pacific: Samoa, New Zealand, South Korea, Australia, Brunei. Links do not use unpublished scores.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Taiwan to Taiwan Strait tensions. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Evidence comes from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Taiwan coverage is 40% with imputation share 42%. No score is published.

Questions about Taiwan

What is Taiwan's Country Instability Index?

Taiwan's Country Instability Index is 21/100 (Low), down 6 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.

What is Taiwan's resilience score?

No resilience score or rank is published for Taiwan. Taiwan's published rank would require coverage of at least 65%, no low-confidence flag, and either a population of at least 200,000 or coverage of at least 85%. Low confidence for Taiwan means coverage falls below 55% or imputation share exceeds 40%.

What evidence is available for Taiwan?

Observed evidence is present for Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Import concentration (100%), Macro-fiscal position (95%), Border security (86%), Social cohesion (76%), and Fiscal space (65%). Input coverage is 40% and imputation share is 42%.

How should readers use Taiwan's page?

Use the evidence inventory and nearest ranked comparators with the live monitor. A missing score does not mean risk is absent.

Related country profiles

Linked to Taiwan by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Taiwan signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for Taiwan risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Related chokepoint trackers

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Taiwan are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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