Bulgaria resilience analysis
Bulgaria ranks #22 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 63.9 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 72, with recovery capacity next at 72.9. Live shock exposure is strongest at 77.8, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 69.2. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.3 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 72; coverage 92%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 72.9; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 77.8; coverage 88%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 69.2; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 51; high Education capacity 85.
- Infrastructure: 70.4; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Cyber and digital capacity 86.
- Recovery capacity: 72.9; weight 25%; low Fiscal space 53; high Import concentration 91.
- Health, food and water: 74.3; weight 13%; low Health and public services 72; high Food and water security 77.
- Economic capacity: 75; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 54; high Trade policy resilience 97.
- Energy security: 89; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 89.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 50% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 51 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 54 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 56 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 67 | 100% | Stale |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 70 | 95% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 71 | 55% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 72 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 73 | 92% | Stale |
| Border security | Social and governance | 75 | 100% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 77 | 82% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 80 | 85% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 86 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 91 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 97 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Albania (#21, 64.1), Netherlands (#23, 63.8), Austria (#20, 64.1), Ireland (#24, 63.5). Comparisons in Europe: Netherlands (#23, 63.8), Albania (#21, 64.1), Austria (#20, 64.1), Ireland (#24, 63.5), Germany (#17, 64.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Bulgaria has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 89. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Bulgaria
What is Bulgaria's resilience score?
Bulgaria scores 63.9 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #22 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Bulgaria?
Structural readiness is lowest at 72, followed by Recovery capacity at 72.9. Their evidence coverage is 92% and 63%.
Is Bulgaria's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.