Ukraine resilience analysis
Ukraine ranks #116 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 47.9 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 53.1, with recovery capacity next at 59.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 75.7, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 39.7. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +2 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 53.1; coverage 95%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 59.6; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 75.7; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 39.7; weight 19%; low Border security 18; high Education capacity 76.
- Recovery capacity: 59.6; weight 25%; low State continuity 21; high Import concentration 89.
- Infrastructure: 61.3; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Core infrastructure 79.
- Economic capacity: 67.9; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 53; high Trade policy resilience 81.
- Health, food and water: 81.2; weight 13%; low Health and public services 74; high Food and water security 90.
- Energy security: 85; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 85.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border security | Social and governance | 18 | 100% | Stale |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 21 | 100% | Stale |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 50% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 29 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 44 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 52 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 53 | 85% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 58 | 70% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 74 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 79 | 95% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 81 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 84 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 85 | 90% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 89 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 90 | 82% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Ecuador (#115, 48.2), South Africa (#117, 47.5), Namibia (#114, 48.3), Zambia (#118, 47.3). Comparisons in Europe: Turkmenistan (#110, 49.2), Russia (#98, 50.8), North Macedonia (#84, 53.3), Armenia (#79, 54.5), Kyrgyzstan (#77, 54.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Ukraine to Russia–Ukraine war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 85. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Ukraine
What is Ukraine's Country Instability Index?
Ukraine's Country Instability Index is 87/100 (Critical), up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.
What is Ukraine's resilience score?
Ukraine scores 47.9 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #116 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Ukraine?
Structural readiness is lowest at 53.1, followed by Recovery capacity at 59.6. Their evidence coverage is 95% and 63%.
Is Ukraine's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +2 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.