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Russia Country Instability Index

Russia's Country Instability Index is 71/100 · High, down 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. SUZU Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Russia's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

Russia instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score71High
24-hour comparison-window movementFalling -1
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed5,950 designated entities
Open Russia on the live map →

Recent developments in Russia

Russia's Country Instability Index is 71/100 · High, down 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Russia, "Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?", priced Yes at 69% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Nov 30, 2026. [E6]

A Polymarket market related to Russia, "Trump meets with Putin by November 30?", priced Yes at 86% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Dec 1, 2026. [E7]

Watch items

Whether the U.S. embassy's warning of a potential mass casualty event in Moscow leads to further arrests or security measures. [4][5]

SUZU Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 2 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

  1. GDELT 195 — in Russia — source: www.livemint.com conflict source
  2. GDELT 180 — in Russia — source: www.business-standard.com conflict source
  3. GDELT 193 — in Russia — source: www.dailykos.com conflict source
  4. GDELT 190 — in Russia — source: www.freemalaysiatoday.com conflict source
  5. GDELT 195 — in Russia — source: www.freemalaysiatoday.com conflict source
  6. GDELT 190 — in Russia — source: www.freemalaysiatoday.com conflict source
  7. GDELT 190 — in Russia — source: dominicanrepublicpost.com conflict source
  8. GDELT 190 — in Russia — source: dominicanrepublicpost.com conflict source
  9. GDELT 180 — in Russia — source: investinglive.com conflict source

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#98
Overall score50.8
Dimension coverage81%
ConfidenceStandard

Russia resilience analysis

Russia ranks #98 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 50.8 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 54.9, with recovery capacity next at 66.7. Live shock exposure is strongest at 77.1, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 53.6. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.4 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity15100%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity21100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance31100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance31100%Stale
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure5150%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance55100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity5685%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity62100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity63100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure64100%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance76100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7770%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security7990%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water83100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity8530%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity85100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water9182%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity95100%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance96100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Nepal (#97, 51.1), Argentina (#99, 50.7), Costa Rica (#96, 51.3), Colombia (#100, 50.6). Comparisons in Europe: Turkmenistan (#110, 49.2), North Macedonia (#84, 53.3), Ukraine (#116, 47.9), Armenia (#79, 54.5), Kyrgyzstan (#77, 54.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Russia to Russia–Ukraine war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 86.6. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Russia

What is Russia's Country Instability Index?

Russia's Country Instability Index is 71/100 (High), down 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.

What is Russia's resilience score?

Russia scores 50.8 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #98 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Russia?

Structural readiness is lowest at 54.9, followed by Recovery capacity at 66.7. Their evidence coverage is 98% and 54%.

Is Russia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to Russia by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Russia signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for Russia risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Related chokepoint trackers

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Russia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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