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Estonia country risk and resilience

Estonia country risk and resilience: ranked #34 of 169 in SUZU Monitor's Country Resilience Index, with live instability, travel-advisory and sanctions signals. The structural snapshot is dated and source-labelled; the live monitor loads separately.

Current signal

Estonia instability monitor

Published partial pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score—No current score
24-hour comparison-window movementUnavailable
Travel advisory inputExercise Normal Precautions
OFAC designations in feed16 designated entities
Live enhancement pending
Open Estonia on the live map →

Recent developments in Estonia

Country brief

What this means for Estonia

Estonia's refusal to moderate its Russia rhetoric, despite U.S. requests, may strain its diplomatic relations with the United States. [2][E1]

A veteran diplomat's warning that Estonia's 'predictable' Russia message is losing impact suggests the country's current approach may be less effective in shaping international opinion. [5][E1]

Key risks

Estonia is linked to 16 US OFAC and Canada SEMA sanctions designations, as of Nov 2, 2026. [E2]

SUZU Monitor data cited

  • E1 · Travel advisory: Exercise Normal Precautions ·
  • E2 · US OFAC and Canada SEMA designations: 16 ·

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 2 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#34
Overall score61.3
Dimension coverage77%
ConfidenceStandard

Estonia resilience analysis

Estonia ranks #34 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 61.3 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 65.3, with structural readiness next at 76.3. Live shock exposure is strongest at 77.9, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 65.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 77%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity0100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure2750%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity59100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6085%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity6895%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7076%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security7590%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water76100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance7692%Stale
Border securitySocial and governance77100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance77100%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity82100%Stale
Food and water securityHealth, food and water8882%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity90100%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance9155%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance94100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Greece (#33, 61.5), Slovakia (#35, 61.2), United Kingdom (#32, 61.5), Barbados (#36, 61.2). Comparisons in Europe: Slovakia (#35, 61.2), Poland (#38, 61.1), Greece (#33, 61.5), United Kingdom (#32, 61.5), Serbia (#31, 61.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

Estonia has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 81.4. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Estonia

What is Estonia's resilience score?

Estonia scores 61.3 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #34 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Estonia?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 65.3, followed by Structural readiness at 76.3. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 89%.

Is Estonia's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to Estonia by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Estonia signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for Estonia risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Estonia are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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