Belarus resilience analysis
Belarus ranks #71 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 55.3 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 61, with structural readiness next at 62.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 81.3, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 59.4. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.1 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 61; coverage 54%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 62.6; coverage 92%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 81.3; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 59.4; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 30; high Education capacity 99.
- Recovery capacity: 61; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 18; high Fiscal space 87.
- Economic capacity: 66.1; weight 17%; low Financial-system exposure 15; high Trade policy resilience 85.
- Infrastructure: 76.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Energy security: 82; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 82.
- Health, food and water: 85; weight 13%; low Health and public services 80; high Food and water security 91.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 15 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 18 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 50% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 30 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 52 | 55% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 53 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 55 | 92% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 65 | 85% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 77 | 100% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 80 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 82 | 90% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 84 | 95% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 85 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 87 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 91 | 82% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 99 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Mongolia (#70, 55.4), Moldova (#72, 55.2), Paraguay (#69, 55.4), China (#73, 55). Comparisons in Europe: Moldova (#72, 55.2), Bosnia and Herzegovina (#67, 55.7), Kyrgyzstan (#77, 54.7), Armenia (#79, 54.5), North Macedonia (#84, 53.3). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Belarus has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Health, food and water, 85. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Belarus
What is Belarus's resilience score?
Belarus scores 55.3 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #71 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Belarus?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 61, followed by Structural readiness at 62.6. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 92%.
Is Belarus's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.