Ecuador resilience analysis
Ecuador ranks #115 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 48.2 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 56.8, with recovery capacity next at 58.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 68.7, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 45.4. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is falling at -4.5 points. Dimension coverage is 83%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 56.8; coverage 92%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 58.6; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 68.7; coverage 88%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Social and governance: 45.4; weight 19%; low Border security 38; high Information environment 65.
- Health, food and water: 52.5; weight 13%; low Food and water security 45; high Health and public services 60.
- Recovery capacity: 58.6; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 17; high External-debt coverage 97.
- Economic capacity: 68.9; weight 17%; low Trade policy resilience 45; high Macro-fiscal position 81.
- Infrastructure: 74.1; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Cyber and digital capacity 95.
- Energy security: 84; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 84.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 17 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 25 | 100% | Stale |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 50% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 38 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 39 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 46 | 92% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 50 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 60 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 64 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 65 | 55% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 67 | 85% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 69 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 73 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 78 | 70% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 81 | 95% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 84 | 90% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 95 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 97 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Namibia (#114, 48.3), Ukraine (#116, 47.9), Bahamas (#113, 48.3), South Africa (#117, 47.5). Comparisons in Latin America and the Caribbean: Bahamas (#113, 48.3), Cuba, Bolivia (#119, 47.2), Honduras (#108, 49.4), Guatemala (#106, 49.7). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Ecuador has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 84. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Ecuador
What is Ecuador's resilience score?
Ecuador scores 48.2 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #115 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Ecuador?
Structural readiness is lowest at 56.8, followed by Recovery capacity at 58.6. Their evidence coverage is 92% and 63%.
Is Ecuador's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is falling, with a change of -4.5 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.