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France Country Instability Index

France's Country Instability Index is 27/100 · Low, down 9 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. SUZU Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures France's longer-term structural capacity.

Current signal

France instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score27Low
24-hour comparison-window movementFalling -9
Travel advisory inputExercise Increased Caution
OFAC designations in feed48 designated entities
Open France on the live map →

Recent developments in France

France's Country Instability Index is 27/100 · Low, down 9 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Key risks

The most severe government travel advisory for France is Exercise Increased Caution as of Nov 2, 2026, which may deter tourism and investment amid ongoing protests. [E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to France, "Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?", priced Yes at 15% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Dec 1, 2026. [E6]

A Kalshi market related to France, "Will France declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027?", priced Yes at 10% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E7]

Watch items

Whether the attempted murder investigation leads to arrests or further escalates protests. [1][2]

Whether France will declare a state of emergency before Jan 1, 2027, as indicated by the Kalshi market. [E7]

SUZU Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 3 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#28
Overall score62.5
Dimension coverage80%
ConfidenceStandard

France resilience analysis

France ranks #28 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 62.5 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 64.5, with structural readiness next at 75.5. Live shock exposure is strongest at 84.6, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 64.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at 0 points. Dimension coverage is 80%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity22100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure2750%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity52100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance67100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance68100%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity6985%Fresh
Border securitySocial and governance70100%Stale
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity7676%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance7685%Fresh
State continuityRecovery capacity76100%Stale
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance83100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity83100%Fresh
Food and water securityHealth, food and water8482%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure86100%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity89100%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water90100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security96100%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity97100%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity—30%Unmonitored
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Cyprus (#27, 62.7), Montenegro (#29, 62.2), Latvia (#26, 62.7), Qatar (#30, 62). Comparisons in Europe: Cyprus (#27, 62.7), Latvia (#26, 62.7), Montenegro (#29, 62.2), Serbia (#31, 61.8), Greece (#33, 61.5). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

France has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.

Reading limits

Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 96. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about France

What is France's Country Instability Index?

France's Country Instability Index is 27/100 (Low), down 9 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.

What is France's resilience score?

France scores 62.5 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #28 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for France?

Recovery capacity is lowest at 64.5, followed by Structural readiness at 75.5. Their evidence coverage is 54% and 94%.

Is France's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of 0 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to France by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need France signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for France risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Related chokepoint trackers

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect France are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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