Guinea-Bissau resilience analysis
Guinea-Bissau ranks #153 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 39.6 out of 100. Live shock exposure is the weakest pillar at 50, with recovery capacity next at 53.4. Structural readiness is strongest at 55.1, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 41. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.4 points. Dimension coverage is 75%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Live shock exposure: 50; coverage 90%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 53.4; coverage 36%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 55.1; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 41; weight 13%; low Health and public services 23; high Food and water security 59.
- Infrastructure: 49; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 20; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Recovery capacity: 53.4; weight 25%; low Fiscal space 54; high State continuity 54.
- Economic capacity: 54.4; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 44; high Financial-system exposure 69.
- Social and governance: 55.7; weight 19%; low Education capacity 10; high Border security 91.
- Energy security: 67; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 67.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 10 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 20 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 23 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 27 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 28 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 44 | 80% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 54 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 54 | 100% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 59 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 60 | 85% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 63 | 92% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 67 | 70% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 69 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 71 | 55% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 91 | 100% | Stale |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Mozambique (#152, 39.8), Zimbabwe (#154, 39.4), Guinea (#151, 40.1), Benin (#155, 38.9). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Mozambique (#152, 39.8), Zimbabwe (#154, 39.4), Guinea (#151, 40.1), Benin (#155, 38.9), Burundi (#150, 40.4). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Guinea-Bissau has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 67. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Guinea-Bissau
What is Guinea-Bissau's resilience score?
Guinea-Bissau scores 39.6 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #153 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Guinea-Bissau?
Live shock exposure is lowest at 50, followed by Recovery capacity at 53.4. Their evidence coverage is 90% and 36%.
Is Guinea-Bissau's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.4 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.