Guinea resilience analysis
Guinea ranks #151 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 40.1 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 51.8, with live shock exposure next at 52.5. Recovery capacity is strongest at 55.3, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 30.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1 points. Dimension coverage is 81%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 51.8; coverage 88%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 52.5; coverage 90%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 55.3; coverage 54%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 30.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 12; high Food and water security 49.
- Infrastructure: 48.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 14; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Economic capacity: 51.3; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 41; high Financial-system exposure 66.
- Social and governance: 52.2; weight 19%; low Education capacity 4; high Border security 83.
- Recovery capacity: 55.3; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 3; high External-debt coverage 86.
- Energy security: 97; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 97.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 3 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 4 | 80% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 12 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 14 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 29 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 32 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 41 | 80% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 49 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 50 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 53 | 92% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 56 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 57 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 72 | 55% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 83 | 100% | Stale |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 86 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 97 | 70% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Burundi (#150, 40.4), Mozambique (#152, 39.8), Haiti (#149, 40.5), Guinea-Bissau (#153, 39.6). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Burundi (#150, 40.4), Mozambique (#152, 39.8), Nigeria (#148, 40.5), Guinea-Bissau (#153, 39.6), Zimbabwe (#154, 39.4). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Guinea has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 97. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Guinea
What is Guinea's resilience score?
Guinea scores 40.1 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #151 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Guinea?
Structural readiness is lowest at 51.8, followed by Live shock exposure at 52.5. Their evidence coverage is 88% and 90%.
Is Guinea's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.