Nigeria resilience analysis
Nigeria ranks #148 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 40.5 out of 100. Live shock exposure is the weakest pillar at 52.7, with structural readiness next at 52.7. Recovery capacity is strongest at 54.3, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 28. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +1.1 points. Dimension coverage is 86%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Live shock exposure: 52.7; coverage 97%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Structural readiness: 52.7; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 54.3; coverage 58%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 28; weight 13%; low Health and public services 16; high Food and water security 40.
- Social and governance: 48.7; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 28; high Information environment 73.
- Recovery capacity: 54.3; weight 25%; low State continuity 15; high External-debt coverage 76.
- Economic capacity: 57.4; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 50; high Currency and external balance 66.
- Infrastructure: 62; weight 15%; low Core infrastructure 36; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Energy security: 71; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 71.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 15 | 100% | Stale |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 28 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 36 | 100% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 37 | 92% | Stale |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 40 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 42 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 48 | 65% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 50 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 50 | 80% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 51 | 100% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 56 | 100% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 61 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 63 | 100% | Stale |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 66 | 85% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 71 | 90% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 73 | 85% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 75 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 76 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Bangladesh (#147, 40.6), Haiti (#149, 40.5), Pakistan (#146, 41.1), Burundi (#150, 40.4). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Burundi (#150, 40.4), Guinea (#151, 40.1), Equatorial Guinea, Eswatini (#145, 41.2), Mozambique (#152, 39.8). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Nigeria to Nigeria security crisis. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 71. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Nigeria
What is Nigeria's resilience score?
Nigeria scores 40.5 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #148 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Nigeria?
Live shock exposure is lowest at 52.7, followed by Structural readiness at 52.7. Their evidence coverage is 97% and 93%.
Is Nigeria's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +1.1 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.