Lebanon–Israel war tracker

What is happening in Lebanon?

Lebanon–Israel war: Hezbollah, the ceasefires and disarmament talks, key actors, a sourced timeline, what to watch, and monthly conflict data.

This tracker compares the latest available monthly conflict summaries for Lebanon and Israel. Lebanon's figures are aggregated from subnational humanitarian records; the tracker does not attempt to attribute events to specific parties, and cross-border exchanges appear only as each country's own recorded totals.

Maintained month snapshot

This page records the committed 2026-10-01 HAPI/HDX country summaries published November 2, 2026. JavaScript can refresh newer values; the numbers above remain available without it.

Source: SUZU Monitor weekly pulse snapshot, November 2, 2026. Combined totals are withheld when covered countries report different reference months.

Background

Israel and Hezbollah fought for more than a year after October 2023 before a ceasefire took effect at 4am on 27 November 2024. It gave 60 days for Israeli troops to leave the south and for Hezbollah to pull back north of the Litani River, with the Lebanese army to become the only armed body there under a US-led monitoring task force. Israel kept five positions inside Lebanon and struck on a near-daily basis; the Lebanese government counted more than 2,000 violations in the last three months of 2025, and IOM found over 64,000 people still displaced in October 2025. Sources: Al Jazeera (1, 2).

On 5 August 2025 the Lebanese cabinet tasked the army with a plan to confine weapons to state forces before the end of the year; Hezbollah said it would treat the decision 'as if it does not exist', and Hezbollah- and Amal-affiliated ministers walked out. On 28 August the UN Security Council unanimously adopted Resolution 2790, extending UNIFIL for a final time to 31 December 2026 with a year for withdrawal. In December Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said the first phase, south of the Litani, was days from completion, while Israel kept striking and said it would act 'as necessary' if Lebanon failed to move against Hezbollah. Sources: France 24, Al Jazeera (1, 2), UN News.

Hezbollah re-entered the war on 2 March 2026 with a rocket and drone attack on a base in Haifa, citing the killing of Iran's Ali Khamenei; Israel bombed Beirut the same day, killing 31 people according to Lebanon's National News Agency, and announced a ground operation on 16 March. The UN said more than 1.2 million people were displaced by late March. A Lebanon-Israel-US framework signed on 26 June ties Israel's 'progressive' redeployment to verified disarmament through 'pilot zones', with no withdrawal timetable. Lebanese authorities say Israeli attacks since 2 March have killed more than 4,300 people; IOM recorded 329,686 still displaced as of 29 September 2026. Sources: Al Jazeera (1, 2, 3, 4, 5), IOM DTM.

Key actors

• Hezbollah — Lebanese armed group and party whose leader Naim Qassem rejected the June 2026 framework as 'null and void' and called tying Israeli withdrawal to disarmament 'a very dangerous proposition'. (Al Jazeera)
• Israeli government and military — Holds a self-declared 'security zone' about 10 km deep along the border that officials say will remain 'for as long as Hezbollah remains armed'. (France 24)
• Lebanese government and Lebanese Armed Forces — President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam back a state monopoly on arms; the army began taking over Froun, Srifa and Zawtar al-Gharbiya on 20 July 2026. (France 24)
• UNIFIL — UN force in south Lebanon whose mandate ends on 31 December 2026; it logged more than 1,800 Israeli projectiles and none from Hezbollah between 21 June and 11 August. (Al Jazeera)
• United States — Mediator of the trilateral framework announced by Secretary of State Marco Rubio on 26 June 2026 and signed by the Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors in Washington. (France 24)

Timeline

1. November 27, 2024 — A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect at 4am, giving 60 days for Israeli withdrawal from the south and Hezbollah's pullback north of the Litani. (Al Jazeera)
2. March 2, 2026 — Hezbollah fired rockets and drones at a base in Haifa, citing Khamenei's killing; Israeli strikes on Beirut and the south killed 31 people, according to the National News Agency. (Al Jazeera)
3. March 16, 2026 — Israel announced a 'limited and targeted ground operation' against Hezbollah as Lebanese authorities registered more than one million people displaced since 2 March. (Al Jazeera)
4. April 16, 2026 — Trump announced a 10-day Israel-Lebanon ceasefire from 21:00 GMT; Netanyahu said Israeli forces would stay in an 'extensive' security zone with the right to strike in self-defence. (Al Jazeera)
5. June 26, 2026 — Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors signed a trilateral framework agreement with the US at the State Department; Israel's envoy called it 'performance-based'. (France 24)
6. September 25, 2026 — Prime Minister Salam told the UN General Assembly weapons must be 'exclusively in the hands of the state', as Israeli shelling near Froun set fires that firefighters were blocked from reaching. (Al Jazeera)
7. October 13, 2026 — Hezbollah announced compensation payments of up to $14,000 per destroyed home, in the same week the government seized hundreds of kilograms of explosives linked to the group. (Al Jazeera)

What to watch

• Rocket and drone alerts in northern Israel. Hezbollah fire pulled Lebanon back into war on 2 March 2026, and UNIFIL logged no Hezbollah projectiles from 21 June to 11 August; renewed sirens would mark a break in that restraint. Tracked in the Israel Sirens panel on the live dashboard.
• Strike tempo in Nabatieh and Bint Jbeil districts. Israel struck Lebanon near-daily even during the 2024 ceasefire; a sustained rise in recorded events south of the Litani would show the June framework eroding. Tracked in the Armed Conflict Events map layer on the live dashboard.
• Returns to southern villages. IOM counted 329,686 people still displaced and 877,203 returned as of 29 September 2026; a reversal in returns would indicate residents judging the border strip unsafe again. Tracked in the Displacement Flows map layer on the live dashboard.
• Fires along the occupied border strip. Al Jazeera reported Israeli artillery causing uncontrollable fires near Froun in September with firefighters blocked; satellite fire detections around occupied villages track that shelling pattern. Tracked in the Fires map layer on the live dashboard.

Background, actors, timeline and watch list last reviewed October 24, 2026 against the linked sources. They are context for the monthly figures above, not part of the HAPI/HDX dataset.

Country readings

2 of the 2 covered countries have a Country Instability Index reading. The highest is Lebanon at 68 (High), and the lowest is Israel at 54 (Elevated). Instability is a live 0-100 stress score; resilience is a structural 0-100 index ranked across countries. Both describe each country as a whole, not this crisis alone, and a country without a reading reflects index coverage, not a statement about risk.

Sources: Country Instability Index published pulse and the country resilience index snapshot used on each country page.

Coverage boundary

Lebanon (LB), Israel (IL). Events outside this list are not included in the live totals on this page.

How to read this tracker

Use these monthly country summaries as a bounded pulse, then inspect the dashboard for event-level context, map layers, and other independent signals. The figures are not forecasts and should not be interpreted as a complete casualty or incident ledger. SUZU Monitor's forecasts are graded separately, and that record is published on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Questions about the Lebanon–Israel war

Download: tracker.json. Scope source: SUZU Monitor crisis registry. Maintained metrics: HAPI/HDX humanitarian conflict summaries from the UN OCHA Humanitarian API.

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