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Country · LB

Lebanon Country Instability Index

Lebanon's Country Instability Index is 68/100 · High, up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. SUZU Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Lebanon's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Lebanese Republic. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Lebanon instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score68High
24-hour comparison-window movementRising +1
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed361 designated entities
Open Lebanon on the live map →

Recent developments in Lebanon

Lebanon's Country Instability Index is 68/100 · High, up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Lebanon, "Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?", priced Yes at 7% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

A Polymarket market related to Lebanon, "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?", priced Yes at 5% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E8]

Watch items

Whether the 300,000 displaced in Lebanon will receive aid from the $50 million refugee appeal. [5]

SUZU Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 1 cited report and 2 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

  1. GDELT 192 — in Lebanon — source: www.graphic.com.gh conflict source
  2. GDELT 192 — in Lebanon — source: www.graphic.com.gh conflict source
  3. GDELT 192 — in Lebanon — source: sana.sy conflict source
  4. GDELT 192 — in Lebanon — source: www.thenationalnews.com conflict source
  5. GDELT 190 — in Lebanon — source: www.israelnationalnews.com conflict source
  6. GDELT 190 — in Lebanon — source: www.israelnationalnews.com conflict source
  7. GDELT 190 — in Lebanon — source: www.theyeshivaworld.com conflict source
  8. GDELT 183 — in Lebanon — source: timesofindia.indiatimes.com conflict source
  9. GDELT 183 — in Lebanon — source: timesofindia.indiatimes.com conflict source

Structural resilience snapshot

Rank#134
Overall score43
Dimension coverage79%
ConfidenceStandard

Lebanon resilience analysis

Lebanon ranks #134 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 43 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 44.3, with recovery capacity next at 61.9. Live shock exposure is strongest at 75.5, while Social and governance is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 35.6. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -1.6 points. Dimension coverage is 79%, and the page labels confidence as standard.

Pillar profile

Six-domain profile

Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first

DimensionDomainScoreCoverageEvidence state
Border securitySocial and governance8100%Stale
State continuityRecovery capacity20100%Stale
Governance and institutionsSocial and governance28100%Fresh
Financial-system exposureEconomic capacity39100%Fresh
Macro-fiscal positionEconomic capacity4280%Fresh
Fiscal spaceRecovery capacity4365%Fresh
Currency and external balanceEconomic capacity4585%Fresh
Education capacitySocial and governance4680%Fresh
Health and public servicesHealth, food and water47100%Fresh
Social cohesionSocial and governance4992%Stale
Food and water securityHealth, food and water6982%Fresh
Information environmentSocial and governance7055%Fresh
External-debt coverageRecovery capacity71100%Fresh
Energy system resilienceEnergy security7890%Fresh
Core infrastructureInfrastructure7970%Fresh
Import concentrationRecovery capacity88100%Fresh
Cyber and digital capacityInfrastructure100100%Fresh
Liquid-reserve adequacyRecovery capacity100100%Fresh
Logistics and supply chainsInfrastructure10050%Fresh
Trade policy resilienceEconomic capacity100100%Fresh
Fuel-stock bufferRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Reserve adequacyRecovery capacity—0%Unavailable
Sovereign fiscal bufferRecovery capacity—0%Not applicable

Comparison set

Nearest ranked peers: Angola (#133, 43.1), Djibouti (#135, 42.9), Togo (#132, 43.1), Côte d’Ivoire (#136, 42.7). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Djibouti (#135, 42.9), Libya (#129, 43.7), Tunisia (#140, 42.3), Turkey (#127, 45.2), Bahrain (#124, 46.2). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Lebanon to Lebanon–Israel war. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Infrastructure, 93.3. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.

Questions about Lebanon

What is Lebanon's Country Instability Index?

Lebanon's Country Instability Index is 68/100 (High), up 1 point over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.

What is Lebanon's resilience score?

Lebanon scores 43 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #134 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.

Which resilience pillars are weakest for Lebanon?

Structural readiness is lowest at 44.3, followed by Recovery capacity at 61.9. Their evidence coverage is 88% and 58%.

Is Lebanon's resilience score rising or falling?

The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -1.6 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.

Related country profiles

Linked to Lebanon by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Lebanon signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for Lebanon risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Lebanon are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

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