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Country · SY

Syria Country Instability Index

Syria's Country Instability Index is 95/100 · Critical, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of .

CII measures current stress. SUZU Monitor's separate Country Resilience Index measures Syria's longer-term structural capacity.

Official name: Syrian Arab Republic. Wikidata identity record.

Current signal

Syria instability monitor

Published pulse

Instability combines current information, unrest, conflict and security-mobility signals. It is separate from structural resilience; do not combine the scores.

Instability score95Critical
24-hour comparison-window movementUnchanged
Travel advisory inputDo Not Travel
OFAC designations in feed300 designated entities
Open Syria on the live map →

Recent developments in Syria

Syria's Country Instability Index is 95/100 · Critical, unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of . Reporting captured in the same window is listed below.

Country brief

What this means for Syria

Syria's consideration of joining the Mecca defense pact may be influenced by its severe travel advisory of Do Not Travel, indicating ongoing security concerns. [4][E2]

Outlook

A Polymarket market related to Syria, "Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?", priced Yes at 23% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Dec 1, 2026. [E5]

A Polymarket market related to Syria, "Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?", priced Yes at 24% on Nov 2, 2026; it closes Jan 1, 2027. [E6]

Watch items

Whether the Syrian government will act on the freedom of speech it allows, as questioned by a headline. [1]

Whether Syria will join the Mecca defense pact, with a Polymarket market pricing Yes at 24%. [4][E6]

SUZU Monitor data cited

Automated summary of 2 cited reports and 3 SUZU Monitor data points, generated .

  1. GDELT 192 — in Syria — source: www.arabnews.com conflict source
  2. GDELT 190 — in Syria — source: www.arabtimesonline.com conflict source
  3. GDELT 186 — in Syria — source: sana.sy conflict source
  4. GDELT 186 — in Syria — source: sana.sy conflict source
  5. GDELT 186 — in Syria — source: sana.sy conflict source
  6. GDELT 190 — in Syria — source: www.rnz.co.nz conflict source
  7. GDELT 193 — in Syria — source: www.al-monitor.com conflict source
  8. GDELT 190 — in Syria — source: www.al-monitor.com conflict source
  9. GDELT 190 — in Syria — source: www.al-monitor.com conflict source
  10. GDELT 192 — in Syria — source: www.thenationalnews.com conflict source

Structural resilience snapshot

RankNot ranked
Overall score—
Dimension coverage55%
ConfidenceStandard

SUZU Monitor does not publish a resilience score for Syria because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria.

Syria resilience analysis

SUZU Monitor does not publish a resilience score or rank for Syria because it does not meet the published ranking eligibility criteria. Officially Syrian Arab Republic. Syria is in the rankable universe as a UN member. Ranked comparisons use the Middle East and North Africa peers rather than other unpublished pages. The snapshot records Syria as SY.

Why Syria is unpublished

Syria's coverage is 55%, below the 65% ranking floor.

Source inventory gaps

Macro-fiscal position, Education capacity, External-debt coverage, Fiscal space, Import concentration, and Liquid-reserve adequacy have no usable observed series. Those slots depend on IMF, World Bank, and UN Comtrade, which do not contribute observed series for those dimensions. Education capacity, External-debt coverage, Fiscal space, Import concentration, and Liquid-reserve adequacy are tagged unmonitored because the source does not cover Syria.

What the snapshot does cover

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), Health and public services (100%), State continuity (100%), and Trade policy resilience (100%). Input coverage is 55% and imputation share is 26%.

Dimension evidence inventory

Showing 12 of 21 active dimensions, weakest evidence first; 6 more at full coverage; 3 omitted for brevity.

Currency and external balance is observed but below the 50% coverage a supported reading needs, so it is recorded here without counting as supported readings.

Nearest ranked comparators

Nearest ranked comparators: Yemen, Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti. Ranked comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Yemen, Iran, Tunisia, Djibouti, Lebanon. Links do not use unpublished scores.

Tracked crisis context

The crisis registry links Syria to Syria conflict. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.

Reading limits

Evidence comes from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Syria coverage is 55% with imputation share 26%. No score is published.

Questions about Syria

What is Syria's Country Instability Index?

Syria's Country Instability Index is 95/100 (Critical), unchanged over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.

What is Syria's resilience score?

No resilience score or rank is published for Syria. Syria's published rank would require coverage of at least 65%, no low-confidence flag, and either a population of at least 200,000 or coverage of at least 85%. Low confidence for Syria means coverage falls below 55% or imputation share exceeds 40%.

What evidence is available for Syria?

Observed evidence is present for Border security (100%), Cyber and digital capacity (100%), Governance and institutions (100%), Health and public services (100%), State continuity (100%), and Trade policy resilience (100%). Input coverage is 55% and imputation share is 26%.

How should readers use Syria's page?

Use the evidence inventory and nearest ranked comparators with the live monitor. A missing score does not mean risk is absent.

Related country profiles

Linked to Syria by a shared crisis tracker, a monitored tension pair, proximity or region.

Need Syria signals in your own workflow? Compare SUZU Monitor Pro and API plans for Syria risk data. Pro adds alert rules and AI digests; API plans serve country resilience and instability data over REST.

Live data

How to read this page

The 0-100 index records the November 1, 2026 snapshot. See the Country Resilience Index methodology for dimensions, sources and confidence rules. Published revisions that affect Syria are in the corrections log.

This 2026-11-01 snapshot applies domain design weights inside pillar aggregation. Earlier published CRI numbers used coverage-only member aggregation and are not directly comparable.

Use this dated reference with the live map for active alerts, conflict, market and energy signals. Neither score on this page is a forecast; where SUZU Monitor does forecast, the graded record is on the forecast accuracy scorecard.

Download: resilience.json. Source: SUZU Monitor Country Resilience Index snapshot, November 1, 2026. Methodology: Country Resilience Index.

How SUZU Monitor compares: SUZU Monitor vs ACLED · SUZU Monitor vs GDELT.