Iran resilience analysis
Iran ranks #163 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 33.7 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 39.1, with recovery capacity next at 39.6. Live shock exposure is strongest at 65.1, while Economic capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 36. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.6 points. Dimension coverage is 74%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 39.1; coverage 93%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 39.6; coverage 41%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Live shock exposure: 65.1; coverage 85%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Economic capacity: 36; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 0; high Trade policy resilience 100.
- Recovery capacity: 39.6; weight 25%; low State continuity 17; high Import concentration 61.
- Social and governance: 41.7; weight 19%; low Governance and institutions 24; high Border security 67.
- Infrastructure: 61.3; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 27; high Core infrastructure 79.
- Health, food and water: 65.5; weight 13%; low Food and water security 60; high Health and public services 70.
- Energy security: 69; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 69.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 0 | 85% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 15 | 76% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 17 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 24 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 27 | 85% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 27 | 50% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 38 | 65% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 43 | 95% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 44 | 100% | Stale |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 47 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 60 | 82% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 61 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 66 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 67 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 69 | 90% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 70 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 79 | 70% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Afghanistan (#162, 34.2), Niger (#164, 32.9), Chad (#161, 34.6), Mali (#165, 31.5). Comparisons in the Middle East and North Africa: Yemen (#166, 31.2), Iraq, Tunisia (#140, 42.3), Syria, Djibouti (#135, 42.9). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Iran to Iran–Israel war, Hormuz and Gulf security. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 69. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Iran
What is Iran's Country Instability Index?
Iran's Country Instability Index is 86/100 (Critical), up 2 points over a 24-hour comparison window, as of Nov 2, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC.
What is Iran's resilience score?
Iran scores 33.7 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #163 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Iran?
Structural readiness is lowest at 39.1, followed by Recovery capacity at 39.6. Their evidence coverage is 93% and 41%.
Is Iran's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.6 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.