Madagascar resilience analysis
Madagascar ranks #137 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 42.7 out of 100. Live shock exposure is the weakest pillar at 50.2, with structural readiness next at 54.3. Recovery capacity is strongest at 70.1, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 23.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.2 points. Dimension coverage is 86%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Live shock exposure: 50.2; coverage 97%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Structural readiness: 54.3; coverage 90%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Recovery capacity: 70.1; coverage 63%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 23.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 4; high Food and water security 43.
- Infrastructure: 51; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 22; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Economic capacity: 52; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 39; high Financial-system exposure 71.
- Social and governance: 56.3; weight 19%; low Education capacity 8; high Border security 84.
- Recovery capacity: 70.1; weight 25%; low Liquid-reserve adequacy 41; high External-debt coverage 98.
- Energy security: 84; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 84.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 4 | 100% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 8 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 22 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 31 | 100% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 34 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 39 | 80% | Fresh |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 43 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 52 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 53 | 85% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 55 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 58 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 68 | 92% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 71 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 71 | 55% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 84 | 100% | Stale |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 84 | 90% | Fresh |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 84 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | 98 | 100% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Côte d’Ivoire (#136, 42.7), Malawi (#138, 42.7), Djibouti (#135, 42.9), Kenya (#139, 42.4). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Côte d’Ivoire (#136, 42.7), Malawi (#138, 42.7), Kenya (#139, 42.4), Angola (#133, 43.1), Togo (#132, 43.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Madagascar has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 84. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Madagascar
What is Madagascar's resilience score?
Madagascar scores 42.7 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #137 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Madagascar?
Live shock exposure is lowest at 50.2, followed by Structural readiness at 54.3. Their evidence coverage is 97% and 90%.
Is Madagascar's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.2 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.