Malawi resilience analysis
Malawi ranks #138 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 42.7 out of 100. Structural readiness is the weakest pillar at 51.8, with live shock exposure next at 56.7. Recovery capacity is strongest at 62.5, while Health, food and water is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 41.5. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at +0.8 points. Dimension coverage is 74%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Structural readiness: 51.8; coverage 85%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 56.7; coverage 90%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
- Recovery capacity: 62.5; coverage 41%; domains Recovery capacity.
Six-domain profile
- Health, food and water: 41.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 38; high Food and water security 45.
- Economic capacity: 46.6; weight 17%; low Currency and external balance 36; high Trade policy resilience 55.
- Infrastructure: 48.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 21; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Social and governance: 56.5; weight 19%; low Education capacity 8; high Border security 76.
- Recovery capacity: 62.5; weight 25%; low Fiscal space 39; high Import concentration 82.
- Energy security: 98; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 98.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 8 | 80% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 21 | 100% | Fresh |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 25 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 36 | 85% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 38 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 39 | 65% | Fresh |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 41 | 100% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 45 | 100% | Fresh |
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 49 | 80% | Fresh |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 54 | 76% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 55 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 61 | 100% | Stale |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 64 | 92% | Stale |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 72 | 55% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 76 | 100% | Stale |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | 82 | 100% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 98 | 70% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: Madagascar (#137, 42.7), Kenya (#139, 42.4), Côte d’Ivoire (#136, 42.7), Tunisia (#140, 42.3). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Côte d’Ivoire (#136, 42.7), Madagascar (#137, 42.7), Kenya (#139, 42.4), Angola (#133, 43.1), Togo (#132, 43.1). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
Malawi has no dedicated crisis tracker; the 18 trackers cover selected crises. That is a coverage limit, not a statement about risk.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 98. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Malawi
What is Malawi's resilience score?
Malawi scores 42.7 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #138 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Malawi?
Structural readiness is lowest at 51.8, followed by Live shock exposure at 56.7. Their evidence coverage is 85% and 90%.
Is Malawi's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of +0.8 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.