Somalia resilience analysis
Somalia ranks #168 of 169 countries with an overall resilience score of 21 out of 100. Recovery capacity is the weakest pillar at 22.3, with structural readiness next at 31.8. Live shock exposure is strongest at 45.7, while Recovery capacity is the lowest of the six underlying domains at 22.3. Across the recorded 30-day window, the index is stable at -0.3 points. Dimension coverage is 71%, and the page labels confidence as standard.
Pillar profile
- Recovery capacity: 22.3; coverage 29%; domains Recovery capacity.
- Structural readiness: 31.8; coverage 88%; domains Economic capacity, Social and governance.
- Live shock exposure: 45.7; coverage 90%; domains Infrastructure, Energy security, Health, food and water.
Six-domain profile
- Recovery capacity: 22.3; weight 25%; low State continuity 7; high Fiscal space 33.
- Social and governance: 23.4; weight 19%; low Education capacity 4; high Border security 36.
- Health, food and water: 25.5; weight 13%; low Health and public services 16; high Food and water security 35.
- Economic capacity: 41.5; weight 17%; low Macro-fiscal position 2; high Currency and external balance 56.
- Infrastructure: 48.7; weight 15%; low Logistics and supply chains 14; high Cyber and digital capacity 100.
- Energy security: 74; weight 11%; Energy system resilience 74.
Dimension evidence, observed scores weakest first
| Dimension | Domain | Score | Coverage | Evidence state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macro-fiscal position | Economic capacity | 2 | 60% | Fresh |
| Education capacity | Social and governance | 4 | 100% | Fresh |
| State continuity | Recovery capacity | 7 | 100% | Stale |
| Governance and institutions | Social and governance | 12 | 100% | Fresh |
| Logistics and supply chains | Infrastructure | 14 | 100% | Fresh |
| Health and public services | Health, food and water | 16 | 100% | Fresh |
| Information environment | Social and governance | 26 | 55% | Fresh |
| Social cohesion | Social and governance | 31 | 92% | Stale |
| Core infrastructure | Infrastructure | 32 | 100% | Fresh |
| Fiscal space | Recovery capacity | 33 | 45% | Fresh |
| Food and water security | Health, food and water | 35 | 100% | Fresh |
| Border security | Social and governance | 36 | 100% | Stale |
| Financial-system exposure | Economic capacity | 51 | 100% | Fresh |
| Trade policy resilience | Economic capacity | 55 | 100% | Fresh |
| Currency and external balance | Economic capacity | 56 | 85% | Fresh |
| Energy system resilience | Energy security | 74 | 70% | Fresh |
| Cyber and digital capacity | Infrastructure | 100 | 100% | Fresh |
| External-debt coverage | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Fuel-stock buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Import concentration | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Liquid-reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 30% | Unmonitored |
| Reserve adequacy | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Unavailable |
| Sovereign fiscal buffer | Recovery capacity | — | 0% | Not applicable |
Comparison set
Nearest ranked peers: South Sudan (#167, 28.4), Sudan (#169, 19.8), Yemen (#166, 31.2), Mali (#165, 31.5). Comparisons in sub-Saharan Africa: Sudan (#169, 19.8), South Sudan (#167, 28.4), Mali (#165, 31.5), Niger (#164, 32.9), Chad (#161, 34.6). Similar scores do not mean equal conditions.
Tracked crisis context
The crisis registry links Somalia to Horn of Africa. Tracker scopes are fixed and do not cover every crisis.
Reading limits
Scores come from the November 1, 2026 snapshot. Top domain: Energy security, 74. Weak pillars pull the overall score down; read each score alongside its coverage and imputation.
Questions about Somalia
What is Somalia's resilience score?
Somalia scores 21 out of 100 in the November 1, 2026 structural snapshot and sits #168 of 169 ranked countries. This is a comparative index, not a crisis probability.
Which resilience pillars are weakest for Somalia?
Recovery capacity is lowest at 22.3, followed by Structural readiness at 31.8. Their evidence coverage is 29% and 88%.
Is Somalia's resilience score rising or falling?
The 30-day reading is stable, with a change of -0.3 points. It is structural and separate from the live instability monitor.